Can Pinocchio become a "real boy?" Call the Blue Fairy.
In Iraq, the question is will the UN "blue fairy" be able to turn the
US "Puppet Government" into a "real government." The answer is NO.
Clearly, the UN had little to do with the selection of the interim
government in Iraq.
Indeed, the UN representives have been barely able to hide their
disappointment with the new "CIA Guy" who's going to be running
Iraq's new government on July first.
Thus, I would expect VERY LITTLE HELP from the UN or NATO after July.
Additionally, LOCAL forces in Iraq seem determined, Hell-Bent even,
to DISCREDIT any US backed, trained or sanctioned "security force."
THE VERY BEST THAT DUBYA AND THE NEOCONS CAN HOPE FOR IS A VERY, VERY
LOOSE "FEDERATION" OF IRAQI POWER CENTERS.
The "new federal government" in Iraq might simply be in charge of
distribution of oil money, and border patrols.
For all practical purposes the Kurds, Shia and Sunni parts of federal
Iraq will be self governing and INDEPENDENT.
(Perhaps, it might resemble those "independent republics" that the
Soviet Union had back in the days of the Cold War.)
In short, the world's weakest central govenment is only befitting the
world's most heterogeneous and divided country.
THIS VERY LOOSE FEDERATION OF IRAQI STATES MIGHT BE THE BEST, AND
INDEED ONLY, WAY TO AVOID THE OFT PREDICTED CIVIL WAR.
Finally, the American notion of "mixing up" the various militias into
a new "national army" is just a really stupid non-starter. Nuts
really.
Likely, trying to mix Sunni, Shia, and Kurd militias will fail
miserably and ASAP.
Why? Well, did school integration really "work" in the US system?
No. American schools are more segrated now than ever. Ergo;
THE SOONER THE US GIVES UP ON THE IDEA OF AN INTEGRATED CENTRALIZED
NATIONAL GOVERNMENT IN IRAQ THE BETTER.
And, if the new US "Pinocchio Government" pushes too hard for a strong central government for post war Iraq;
Even the "Blue Fairy" won't be able to save Pinocchio from the
factionalism that Dubya's Disasterous War has now unleased!
IRAQ IS THE "NEW YUGOSLAVIA!" NOT THE "NEW DEMOCRACY" IN THE MIDDLE
EAST. SORRY WOLFIE.....
JUST GET USED TO IT...................
