Friday, March 16, 2007

FED FROZEN IN PLACE FOR REST OF YEAR...

This notion that Bernanke is going to "do something" with rates...is totally misguided.

Once the modern FED "STOPS" or "STARTS" a rate cycle it is almost impossible to change course...

The markets would crash if the FED raised rates... And the market would soar wildly to 15,000+ on the Dow, if the FED lowered rates even 25BP...

It's simply the natural consequences of our "hype-based" market system in play in the US markets...


It is all based on perception...NOT MACRO-ECONOMICS...

Why? Well because the US economy has been operating TOTALLY outside of the rules and laws of macro-economics for years!


This essentially makes the US stock and bond markets...a work of fiction! For which the Greenspan could be given the Nobel Prize in Literature...BUT NEVER ECONOMICS!