WELL, IT'S COME DOWN TO THAT...!
FIRST, THE PARTY REGULARS WILL STAY PUT NO MATTER WHAT...OK?
YOU COULD RUN SATAN HIMSELF, AND THE PARTY REGULARS WOULD VOTE FOR THE PARTY...
THE REAL ISSUE IS THE UNCOMMITTED AND THE INDEPENDENTS...?
WHO DOES BEST WITH UNCOMMITTED AND INDEPENDENT VOTERS...? THAT IS THE KEY VOTE THIS TIME...
BOTH MC CAIN AND OBAMA HAVE APPEAL TO INDEPENDENT VOTERS... BOTH ARE SORT OF "OUTSIDE" THE MAINSTREAM OF THEIR RESPECTIVE PARTIES...
MOST OF THESE INDEPENDENTS HAVE LITTLE COMMITMENT TO OVERARCHING IDEOLOGIES.... THEY ARE AD HOC IN THEIR APPROACH TO POLITICS...
THEY VOTE FOR PEOPLE THEY "LIKE"... OR WHO SEEM OK....
INDEPENDENTS DON'T HAVE A LOT OF IRONS IN THE POLITICAL FIRE... THEY ARE NOT DEPENDENT ON GOVERNMENT FOR SOME ASPECT OF THE LIFE...
THEY LIKE BOTH LOW TAXES...AND GOOD ROADS!!
THEY LIKE SECURITY BUT THEY HATE LONG INCONCLUSIVE WARS...!!
THEY LIKE MORALITY....BUT REALIZE THAT IT'S NOT THE NATURAL STATE OF MANKIND...
MY HUNCH IS THAT OBAMA IS THE INDEPENDENT CHOICE....OVER HILLARY...
BECAUSE INDEPENDENTS LIKELY ALREADY HAVE HEALTH CARE AND PERHAPS SECURE JOBS... SOME COULD EVEN BE ON MEDICARE OR MEDICAIDE! BUT THEY FEEL SECURE IN THOSE PROGRAMS...
OBAMA IS WEAK ON POCKET BOOK ISSUES...HE OFFERS PEOPLE "HOPE" NOT "PROGRAMS" AND IMMEDIATE LEGISLATION TO FIX PROBLEMS....
OBAMA HASN'T EVEN STARTED THINKING SERIOUSLY ABOUT MANY KEY NATIONAL PROBLEMS... RATHER HE TELLS US ABOUT HOW HE "HELPED" THE SOUTH SIDE OF CHICAGO!!
WELL, WE AREN'T QUITE THE "SOUTH SIDE OF CHICAGO" YET...BUT WE ARE GETTING THERE...
OBAMA WILL PASS S-CHIP AND COAST INTO THE NEXT ELECTION CYCLE!!
HILLARY IS FOR PEOPLE WHO FEEL THE ECONOMY IS IN DEEP DEEP TROUBLE...
MC CAIN IS FOR INDEPENDENTS WHO ARE "SET" ECONOMICALLY...HAVE THEIR HEALTH CARE IN PLACE...AND LIKE TO "WIN" NOT JUST START WARS...
THE US WAR RECORD HAS BEEN IFFY OF LATE... BUT MANY MC CAIN VOTERS ARE OLDER FLAG WAVERS...WHO STILL CAN AFFORD TO BE CONCERNED ABOUT "PATRIOTISM" "FLAG BURNING" AND "WAR HEROES"....
MY HUNCH IS THAT THESE MC CAIN INDEPENDENTS MAY ALSO BE TORN BY THE ECONOMIC PROBLEMS IN THE COUNTRY...
NOT NECESSARILY IN THEIR OWN LIVES ...BUT FOR THE LIVES OF THEIR CHILDREN AND GRAND CHILDREN WHO MAY BE STRUGGLING IN A POOR JOB AND WAGE MARKET WITHOUT HEALTH CARE AND HOPE FOR THE FUTURE....
SO WILL THE "MC CAIN INDEPENDENT" BE A MORE LIKELY HILLARY OR OBAMA VOTER...
AMAZINGLY I THINK THEY WOULD SPLIT ALMOST EVENLY....
MOST OF THESE "SHALLOW THINKERS" STILL HARBOR SOME RACIST TENDENCIES....
BUT SHALLOW THINKERS RELATE TO THE SUPPOSED "GOOD TIMES" OF THE CLINTON YEARS..
....AND VERY LIKELY FEAR FOR THE FUTURE OF THEIR KIDS... IF NOT FOR THEMSELVES....
INCIDENTLY, THIS WOULD BE A GOOD "TALKING POINT" FOR EITHER DEMOCRAT...!
ESSENTIALLY SAYING ....
YES, YOU'RE FIXED FOR LIFE...! YOU CAN "AFFORD" A MC CAIN PRESIDENCY...
BUT WHAT ABOUT YOUR KIDS...!!??
YOUR SISTERS KID...?
YOUR GRANDCHILD WHO STILL LIVES AT HOME.... BECAUSE HE OR SHE CAN'T FIND A JOB THAT PAYS A LIVING WAGE...FOR THE RENT AND WHAT ABOUT HEALTH INSURANCE!!
MC CAIN WILL BE A SITTING DUCK ON THE ECONOMY AND HE HAS FORFEITED THAT ISSUE TO THE DEMOCRATS...
NET NET ADVANTAGE....TO THE DEMOCRAT ON INDEPENDENTS...
WITH A BIGGER ADVANTAGE TO OBAMA THAN TO CLINTON ON THIS KEY SEGMENT OF THE ELECTORATE...
