AT 1600 FEET THIS PILOT WAS RUNNING OUT OF AIR SPACE TOO FAST TO CORRECT THE ELEVATOR MALFUNCTION IN THE TAIL OF THE PLANE...(AND/OR WAS IT ALSO A CENTER OF GRAVITY PROBLEM CAUSED BY THE BAGGAGE...?)
CLEARLY SOMETHING WENT HORRIBLY WRONG...FAST...
THE STICK SHAKER AUTOMATED STALL PREVENTION DEVICE HERE ASSUMED A WING STALL...AND "CONSPIRED" WITH THE MALFUNCTIONING TAIL ELEVATOR TO PUT THIS PLANE INTO A FLAT "DEATH SPIRAL" STALL...ONCE THIS KIND OF STALL STARTS IT'S NEARLY IMPOSSIBLE TO STOP.
THIS IS THE WORST KIND OF STALL...EVERY AVAILABLE SURFACE LITERALLY "QUITS FLYING"...THE AIR FOIL IS BROKEN VERY FAST...THE PLANE LITERALLY FALLS LIKE A LEAF...PERHAPS ROTATING ON THE WAY DOWN...AND WITH LITTLE AIR SPACE LEFT...THE PLANE "PANCAKED" INTO THE HOUSE...
THIS LINK DISCUSSES THE CENTER OF GRAVITY PROBLEMS (WEIGHT DISTRIBUTION) AS A CAUSE OF STALLS.
THAT'S MY THEORY ON THIS CASE....
POSTSCRIPT:
IT IS NOW REVEALED THAT THE PLANE WAS ON AUTO-PILOT WHEN THE FATAL STALL BEGAN...THIS COULD CAUSE THE PLANE TO "THINK" IT WAS HELPING WHEN IN FACT IT WAS ABETTING THE TAIL STALL...WHICH STILL COULD BE THE PROBABLE CAUSE. IF THE CREW WERE DISTRACTED WITH ICING...SOMEONE MIGHT HAVE FORGOT ABOUT THE AUTOPILOT...WHICH IS WHY CHECKLISTS ARE ALWAYS USED BY CREWS... AUTOPILOT WOULD TRY TO DO THINGS NOT INTENDED BY THE DISTRACTEDPILOT...BUT EVEN THAT MISTAKE WOULD NOT BE THE CAUSE OF THE ORIGINAL STALL.
ESSENTIALLY, WE HIRE PILOTS TO TAKE OFF AND LAND THE PLANE...AND TAKE DYNAMIC INSTRUCTIONS AND MAKE QUICK CHANGES WHEN DIRECTED FROM THE CONTROLLERS AND THE TOWER...DURING UNUSUAL WEATHER EVENTS...THESE ARE THINGS COMPUTERS CAN NOT YET DO IN AVIATION. IN SHORT WE HIRE PILOTS TO "THINK LIKE A BIRD" WHEN THINGS DON'T GO AS PLANNED.