Will the Iraqi Elections be cancelled as the realities on the ground finally sink in?
I think they will. Here's why:
There is virutally no secuitry for anyone in Iraq now. Not US troops. Not the so-called government. Not for the people.
The best way to visualize this scenario is simply: IMAGINE ELECTION DAY!!
US troops standing around outside of PUBLIC BUILDINGS----THAT ANYONE CAN ENTER!!
MY GOD!! THAT WOULD BE SUICIDE EVEN WITHOUT A "BOMBER!"
YOU SIMPLY CAN NOT MIX IRAQI PEOPLE AND AMERICAN TROOPS IN LARGE NUMBERS IN PUBLIC PLACES---AND NOT EXPECT TOTAL DISASTER.
MY SENSE IS THAT THE ATTACKERS WILL DISGUISE THEMSELVES AS VOTERS!
AND WHEN THE SHOOTING AND BOMBING STARTS?----THE AMERICANS WILL RESPOND IN SELF-DEFENSE AS TRAINED.
AND A WHOLE LOT OF INNOCENT IRAQIS WILL BE KILLED WHILE TRYING TO "VOTE."
NOTHING COULD BE WORSE! NOTHING!
IT WOULD BE A GLOBAL PUBLIC RELATIONS NIGHTMARE!
YOU SIMPLY CAN NOT HAVE A "LARGE GATHERING" OF PEOPLE IN IRAQ NOW UNDER THESE CONDITIONS.
AND THE VERY PRESENCE OF AMERICANS WILL BE LIKE A POWDER KEG.
THE IRAQI ELECTIONS WILL NOT BE HELD.......AT SOME POINT COOLER HEADS WILL PREVAIL;
AND REALIZE THAT THIS IS WAY WAY TOO DANGEROUS TO EVEN BE ATTEMPTED.
MY SENSE IS THAT SOMEONE IN AUTHORITY WILL REALIZE THIS BEFORE THE 30TH, AND THE ENTIRE AFFAIR WILL BE CALLED OFF, PROBABLY AT THE LAST MINUTE SO THEY CAN SAY: "WE TRIED."
A better idea would be to have small groups of elections at the tribal and city level on various dates and times.
These would be totally unsupervised from the outside.
And be held at the time and place of local authorities' choosing: and not the puppet government in the Green Zone, nor the "Coalition."
These local staggered and irregular elections could then feed up into regional congresses, and finally move to the national level.
IF DUBYA KEEPS PUSHING FOR A "SHOW ELECTION" IN IRAQ ON JANUARY 30TH?
WE COULD SEE A DEBACLE UNLIKE ANYTHING SINCE HIS INFAMOUS "TOP GUN" SPEECH A COUPLE OF YEARS AGO!!
THE IRAQI ELECTIONS SIMPLY MUST BE CANCELLED UNTIL SECURITY AND RE-BUILDING CAN TAKE PLACE.
IF A LARGE MASSACRE AND CHAOS RESULT?
THE WORLD'S PATIENCE WITH DUBYA, RUMMY, WOLFIE AND THE GOOF-BALL NEOCONS COULD END QUICKLY ON JANUARY 30TH!
Postscript: And as always remember you heard it here first. OK?
