Historians will wonder about how Dubya got elected... This guy was Mr. Stupid from the get go...
Americans will have some explaining to do... My hunch is that Dubya's opponents where not "likeable"...sort of like Romney is today...
Likeability is the main factor in voters minds...unless something absolutely horrible moves it to the side...
Most presidents follow the advise of their experts...so there are really no issues that are totally decided by the president... Dubya let the Neocons get him in trouble in Iraq...
But Obama has been doing everything that the textbooks say to do in a Depression... The only problem is the textbooks don't talk about Depressions this deep and this structural...
But the "Have a Beer With" test is really the best indicator of an election...
That is why I think Warren will lose to Brown in Mass...